January 22nd, 2010
It was reported on KNX 1070 AM today - and subsequently reported elsewhere that such was verified by the National Weather Service - that another tornado touched down in southern California. Again, fortunately, there were no reported injuries. That makes three tornadoes in as many days in coastal regions of southern California.
Adam Trotter / AVT
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Reporter: ‘Doppler Radar is Wrong Here!’
January 20, 2010
On Los Angeles Radio, KNX 1070 AM, today at 1:10 PM (1310) Los Angeles Time, a local reporter who claimed to be armed with multiple computers showing Doppler radar (and GPS, no doubt) stated that the official Doppler radar was incorrect with regards to where he was located. The reporter, who was mobile to cover the latest round of storms in Southern California, reported live on the air that the Doppler radar showed a strong, heavy rain/storm cell over downtown Long Beach, California. The reporter stated, however, that he was also concurrently in downtown Long Beach and his location coincided with the heavy storm/rain cell displayed by the Doppler radar. However, guess what….., the reporter was fascinated and amazed to report – live, on-the-air – that there was absolutely no rain in sight anywhere in Downtown Long Beach!
I mean…, I had heard of abnormalities with Doppler radar, mostly in the form of Doppler showing rain in the atmosphere that was not reaching the ground. However, I had never heard of Doppler displaying extremely heavy rain where, in fact, no rain existed at all. Maybe I need to learn more of Doppler radar? Shortly thereafter, a waterspout was reported over the Pacific ten miles to the north and reported to be coming towards shore in the Hermosa Beach area – I am unsure of any correlation.
This matter of erroneous Doppler radar struck me as odd. Because, as simplistic and outside-the-box my ideas are for forecasting severe and possibly tornadic weather, and as much as the mainstream weather gods such as NOAA, National Weather Service, and the local weatherpersons would seem likely to shun my climatologic ideas, their ideas and tools don’t always seem to work any better, such as with the instant case. Of course, nothing is perfect, I suppose. But I have to wonder what amount of cumulative investment costs Doppler radar represents to the U.S. taxpayer? Please pass along your thoughts to me on this matter of erroneous Doppler radar, if you would be so kind.
Thanks,
Adam Trotter / AVT / Tornado Tamer :)
On Los Angeles Radio, KNX 1070 AM, today at 1:10 PM (1310) Los Angeles Time, a local reporter who claimed to be armed with multiple computers showing Doppler radar (and GPS, no doubt) stated that the official Doppler radar was incorrect with regards to where he was located. The reporter, who was mobile to cover the latest round of storms in Southern California, reported live on the air that the Doppler radar showed a strong, heavy rain/storm cell over downtown Long Beach, California. The reporter stated, however, that he was also concurrently in downtown Long Beach and his location coincided with the heavy storm/rain cell displayed by the Doppler radar. However, guess what….., the reporter was fascinated and amazed to report – live, on-the-air – that there was absolutely no rain in sight anywhere in Downtown Long Beach!
I mean…, I had heard of abnormalities with Doppler radar, mostly in the form of Doppler showing rain in the atmosphere that was not reaching the ground. However, I had never heard of Doppler displaying extremely heavy rain where, in fact, no rain existed at all. Maybe I need to learn more of Doppler radar? Shortly thereafter, a waterspout was reported over the Pacific ten miles to the north and reported to be coming towards shore in the Hermosa Beach area – I am unsure of any correlation.
This matter of erroneous Doppler radar struck me as odd. Because, as simplistic and outside-the-box my ideas are for forecasting severe and possibly tornadic weather, and as much as the mainstream weather gods such as NOAA, National Weather Service, and the local weatherpersons would seem likely to shun my climatologic ideas, their ideas and tools don’t always seem to work any better, such as with the instant case. Of course, nothing is perfect, I suppose. But I have to wonder what amount of cumulative investment costs Doppler radar represents to the U.S. taxpayer? Please pass along your thoughts to me on this matter of erroneous Doppler radar, if you would be so kind.
Thanks,
Adam Trotter / AVT / Tornado Tamer :)
Hermosa Beach (Calif.) Officials Warn City Residents to Take Cover as Ocean Waterspout is Likely to Soon Move On Shore.
January 20, 2010
Today at approximately 3:15 PM (1515) Los Angeles Time, the City Officials of Hermosa Beach, Los Angeles County, California, conscientiously telephoned city residents and warned the residents to take cover as a waterspout had been spotted over the ocean and was expected to make land fall in approximately twenty minutes. Personal friends of mine told me that they saw no waterspout but visibility was nearly nill / no visibility. However, one friend told me that there was a seemingly weird weather formation slightly up the beach to the north in Manhattan Beach; consisting of an unusual and oddly lit sky and seemingly odd cloud formations of an unusual density, or at least as best they could tell in the reduced visibility. Concurrently, a KNX News Radio 1070 AM Los Angeles reporter in Manhattan Beach reported that Doppler radar showed a waterspout over the ocean but the reporter could only see minimal rotational effects in the sky.
Adam Trotter / AVT / Tornado Tamer :)
Afterthought 1/22/2010: It should be noted that a short time later the city officials also utilized the 'reverse-911' system to inform the citizens that there was no longer any known imminent danger.
Today at approximately 3:15 PM (1515) Los Angeles Time, the City Officials of Hermosa Beach, Los Angeles County, California, conscientiously telephoned city residents and warned the residents to take cover as a waterspout had been spotted over the ocean and was expected to make land fall in approximately twenty minutes. Personal friends of mine told me that they saw no waterspout but visibility was nearly nill / no visibility. However, one friend told me that there was a seemingly weird weather formation slightly up the beach to the north in Manhattan Beach; consisting of an unusual and oddly lit sky and seemingly odd cloud formations of an unusual density, or at least as best they could tell in the reduced visibility. Concurrently, a KNX News Radio 1070 AM Los Angeles reporter in Manhattan Beach reported that Doppler radar showed a waterspout over the ocean but the reporter could only see minimal rotational effects in the sky.
Adam Trotter / AVT / Tornado Tamer :)
Afterthought 1/22/2010: It should be noted that a short time later the city officials also utilized the 'reverse-911' system to inform the citizens that there was no longer any known imminent danger.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Reported Waterspout / Twister / Tornado Comes Ashore Sunset Beach, Orange County, California
January 19th, 2010 - 1530 Los Angeles Time
A few hours ago, in Sunset Beach / Seal Beach Orange County California, it was reported a likely waterspout came ashore and became a twister / tornado, tossing boats and overturning vehicles (multiple boats and at least one SUV of 6000 lbs – “at least Fujita Scale 2, F-2,” reported by weatherman Josh on KCAL 9 News Central @ 1548). Also reported were blown-out windows and uprooted trees. Thankfully, there were no reported injuries.
I wish I had some monitoring devices to see what was going on in the local atmosphere at the time. Maybe I’ll ask the NOAA folks for a likely explanation of how this phenomenon materialized.
AVT
I submitted the following question(s) to National Weather Service / NOAA at:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/
NOAA, National Weather Service,
I write to ask you for an explanation of the reported waterspout / twister /tornado that appeared to have come ashore this afternoon in Seal Beach / Sunset Beach, Orange County, California. Could you explain to me how this twister may have come to be formed? Otherwise, could you point me in the direction of where I may learn more of how this possible waterspout came ashore to become a ‘likely’ tornado in coastal Orange County, California? I am curious, was this phenomenon predictable by typical tornado prediction models? Please let me know, if you would be so kind. Thank you for your time and attention to this matter.
Sincerely,
Adam Trotter
A few hours ago, in Sunset Beach / Seal Beach Orange County California, it was reported a likely waterspout came ashore and became a twister / tornado, tossing boats and overturning vehicles (multiple boats and at least one SUV of 6000 lbs – “at least Fujita Scale 2, F-2,” reported by weatherman Josh on KCAL 9 News Central @ 1548). Also reported were blown-out windows and uprooted trees. Thankfully, there were no reported injuries.
I wish I had some monitoring devices to see what was going on in the local atmosphere at the time. Maybe I’ll ask the NOAA folks for a likely explanation of how this phenomenon materialized.
AVT
I submitted the following question(s) to National Weather Service / NOAA at:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/
NOAA, National Weather Service,
I write to ask you for an explanation of the reported waterspout / twister /tornado that appeared to have come ashore this afternoon in Seal Beach / Sunset Beach, Orange County, California. Could you explain to me how this twister may have come to be formed? Otherwise, could you point me in the direction of where I may learn more of how this possible waterspout came ashore to become a ‘likely’ tornado in coastal Orange County, California? I am curious, was this phenomenon predictable by typical tornado prediction models? Please let me know, if you would be so kind. Thank you for your time and attention to this matter.
Sincerely,
Adam Trotter
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Is Strange Weather Currently on its Way to the Heartland?
Dec. 31st, 2009
I’m not sure if such was just an off-shore ‘fluke,’ but the model by which I research and attempt to monitor to seek a pattern to forewarn of tornadic, severe, and strange weather phenomena for the as yet specifically-unknown areas of the American Midwestern states seemed to predict this evening that such unstable weather may, in fact, be on its way to the American heartland – of course we must be mindful of the time of year and what types of weather could manifest itself inland under any such conditions. For all that is really known of the subject, the aforementioned model may be foretelling of something totally unrelated to reasons for which the model is currently monitored. Nevertheless, time will tell if this possible interpretation of the weather model was correct for this specific occurrence or whether such was merely a ‘fluke,’ coincidence, or nothing at all, I suppose.
AVT
PS. Barometer 30.27 inches (a few hours later from Los Angeles), falling or rising don’t know, scattered light rain, 50 deg f approx., Night time.
Afterthought 1/3/10 : record cold temperatures passed into the heartland possibly on schedule that would likely coincide with any prediction of the model; say, one to two days later. Whether such was a fluke, I’m unsure. Unfortunately I don’t have data loggers to monitor the deltas/differences of any monitored variable. So at best, I am only taking snapshots. I was a little concerned with the prediction as discussed above in this blog because upon a ‘snap-shot’ being taken the next day, all had returned to normal – so to speak – as best I could tell.
I’m not sure if such was just an off-shore ‘fluke,’ but the model by which I research and attempt to monitor to seek a pattern to forewarn of tornadic, severe, and strange weather phenomena for the as yet specifically-unknown areas of the American Midwestern states seemed to predict this evening that such unstable weather may, in fact, be on its way to the American heartland – of course we must be mindful of the time of year and what types of weather could manifest itself inland under any such conditions. For all that is really known of the subject, the aforementioned model may be foretelling of something totally unrelated to reasons for which the model is currently monitored. Nevertheless, time will tell if this possible interpretation of the weather model was correct for this specific occurrence or whether such was merely a ‘fluke,’ coincidence, or nothing at all, I suppose.
AVT
PS. Barometer 30.27 inches (a few hours later from Los Angeles), falling or rising don’t know, scattered light rain, 50 deg f approx., Night time.
Afterthought 1/3/10 : record cold temperatures passed into the heartland possibly on schedule that would likely coincide with any prediction of the model; say, one to two days later. Whether such was a fluke, I’m unsure. Unfortunately I don’t have data loggers to monitor the deltas/differences of any monitored variable. So at best, I am only taking snapshots. I was a little concerned with the prediction as discussed above in this blog because upon a ‘snap-shot’ being taken the next day, all had returned to normal – so to speak – as best I could tell.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
National Jobs Task Force Team Meetings, or Whatever Such is Labeled
December 9th, 2009
While talks and meetings to get the private sector to create jobs and increase employment levels are surely commendable, at least superficially, does it not occur to those ‘task force’ type folks that to speak of the possibility of future tax credits for the hiring of individuals may likely cause the timid employers to wait to hire? That is to say, if a firm believed that at some future point in time it might get a tax credit as a result of hiring employees, wouldn’t it seem likely that many employers would wait to hire until after the potential tax credit was authorized or likely wait before hiring to see if such a tax credit were to be authorized?
AVT
While talks and meetings to get the private sector to create jobs and increase employment levels are surely commendable, at least superficially, does it not occur to those ‘task force’ type folks that to speak of the possibility of future tax credits for the hiring of individuals may likely cause the timid employers to wait to hire? That is to say, if a firm believed that at some future point in time it might get a tax credit as a result of hiring employees, wouldn’t it seem likely that many employers would wait to hire until after the potential tax credit was authorized or likely wait before hiring to see if such a tax credit were to be authorized?
AVT
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Persistence of Vision..............
Sometime prior to November 29th, 2009.
The theory known as the Persistence of Vision states something to the extent that the eye naturally resets itself every few moments and that the brain fills in (from memory) the blind/blank times while the eye is momentarily resetting itself and is therefore unable to see.
Given such, how can you be sure if what you are seeing is reality or not??? In other words, how do you know whether your mind is telling you that you are seeing something that is or is not there in reality?
AVT
The theory known as the Persistence of Vision states something to the extent that the eye naturally resets itself every few moments and that the brain fills in (from memory) the blind/blank times while the eye is momentarily resetting itself and is therefore unable to see.
Given such, how can you be sure if what you are seeing is reality or not??? In other words, how do you know whether your mind is telling you that you are seeing something that is or is not there in reality?
AVT
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